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Lab log

Gaspar Quintana

Data science, machine learning and AI automation. I write up every project as an experiment: the question, the method, the result and what I learned. When a result doesn't hold up, it stays in the log too.

status: open to data roles

entries
17
retracted
2
EXP-01 · 70.7% → 91.7%

Córdoba, Argentina

§ 01

Experiments

Six selected entries. Each one opens with the question I wanted to answer.

EXP-01computer vision

Reading land use from space

question
Can a CNN trained from scratch classify 64×64 Sentinel-2 tiles into 10 land-cover classes?
learned
More data beat every architecture change: +7.3 points from 500 to 1,000 images per class.
result70.7%91.7%

test accuracy · 91.3% on 17,000 never-seen images

Open entry →

EXP-02reinforcement learning

An agent that crosses a minefield

question
Can a DQN agent learn a 7×7 minefield with tunnels, starting from any cell, with no map?
learned
A −1 reward per step taught it the shortest safe path: 14.7 → 5.4 steps.
result7.1%100%

success over 1,000 games · random player vs. trained DQN · 0 bombs hit

Open entry →

EXP-03deep learning

Does it read my handwriting?

question
Does a 99% MNIST model still work on digits I drew myself, outside the dataset?
learned
Even with 200 of 784 pixels it keeps 97.4%: most pixels are noise.
result99.41% · 10/10

test accuracy (95% CI 99.24–99.54%) · my own digits recognized

Open entry →

EXP-04AI automation

A bot that survives its sources

question
Can a Telegram bot keep recommending events when the websites it scrapes break?
learned
Design for degradation: fall back, log every failure, alert a human.
result17 sources · 4 failure modes

n8n · Gemini agent · voice via Groq · logs, alerts and /metrics

Open entry →

EXP-05BI · forecasting

Next week's profit, honestly

question
Can a small business forecast next week's profit from 4 years of messy spreadsheets?
learned
Check what the target really is: 'future' profit was same-week profit.
resultR² 0.970.37

R² after removing the leak (synthetic data) · 33% less error than naive

Open entry →

EXP-06client project

A barbershop goes online

question
Can a barbershop move off WhatsApp and AgendaPro without losing its customers?
learned
Clean the data before you automate: 1 in 6 records was a duplicate.
result665553

records → real customers · 112 duplicates merged · 5 automations

Open entry →

ALL ENTRIES

The rest of the log: foundations, statistics, BI and early analyses.

  1. 2026Heart disease prediction with ensembles and cross-validationAn L1-regularized logistic regression scored best (83.8% 20-fold cross-validated accuracy), ahead of every ensemble. The best ensemble was the soft VotingClassifier (82.2%), followed by Extra Trees (79.5%) and Random Forest (77.1%).ML ↗
  2. 2026Statistical inference with chi-square, ANOVA and mutual informationHaving dependents (χ² = 189.1) and a partner (χ² = 158.7) are associated with churn, while gender is not (p = 0.49). ANOVA was applied only to the one variable that met its assumptions.Statistics ↗
  3. 2026Computer vision fundamentals with OpenCVA hand-built smoothing and edge-detection pipeline, the groundwork for the EuroSAT CNN project.Vision ↗
  4. 2026Natural-language search engine for computer peripheralsA working API that answers free-form queries over the full peripherals catalog.NLP ↗
  5. 2025Neural network foundations, from the perceptron to a tuned DNNThe regression DNN reached a test RMSE of 89.8 (5-fold CV, 92.6 ± 40.7), with fold-to-fold variability documented as a model limitation.Deep learning ↗
  6. 2025Breast cancer diagnosis with DNNs, SVMs and PCAThe L2-regularized SVM reached 97.6% cross-validated accuracy and 94.7% on test (F1 0.947), the DNN 94.5% on test, and 3 principal components keep 81.9% of the variance.Deep learning ↗
  7. 2025SQL Server sales dashboard with monthly forecastingA dashboard regenerated by a single procedure, plus an on-demand monthly forecast.SQL ↗
  8. 2024Titanic, feature engineering and Random ForestWithout data leakage, the Random Forest scores 81.6% on the hold-out (84.8% cross-validated), 3.9 points above the "women survive" rule. The original 98.9% came from computing family and ticket survival rates on the whole dataset.ML ↗
  9. 2024Buenos Aires real estate, exploratory analysisFor the 3 most-listed property types in Buenos Aires City (91,485 listings), rooms and bedrooms are the best individual price predictors, with moderate correlation.Analysis ↗
  10. 2024Blood pressure by age, cleaning and analysisHigh blood pressure goes from about half of cases at ages 18–29 to nearly all cases after 70, with the sharpest jump between 40 and 59.Analysis ↗
  11. 2024Power BI dashboards for IT support and salesAgent performance, satisfaction and sales KPI panels, filterable by year, type and agent.BI ↗

§ 03

In progress

EXP-07 · thesis

Unbiased valuation ranges

People who value companies type 5-year assumptions into a spreadsheet by hand: sales growth, margins and cash flow. The verdict depends almost entirely on those numbers, and the evidence says hand-made projections tend to be optimistic.

I'm building a model that gives a calibrated reference range for each assumption, based on what thousands of comparable companies actually achieved. It uses SEC filings as they were available at each date, quantile models with conformal calibration and walk-forward validation, and it is compared against baselines from the literature: random walk, mean reversion and base rates.

Preliminary results

How much each model improves on the base ratePinball-loss reduction by horizon (%). Filled dot: significant at 10%.
0%3%6%9%12%1 year2 years3 years4 years5 yearsLightGBMTabPFNCustom network
Microsoft case: 5-year annual sales growthEach model's range vs. a 16% per year manual assumption. Bar: middle 50%; line: middle 80%.
-10%0%10%20%30%manual assumption: 16%Random walkMean reversionBase rateSpreadsheet ruleCustom networkLightGBMTabPFN
ML modelsSimple baselines

§ 04

Log

Before data I sold cars and houses and worked at a newspaper. That's why I build tools with the people who will use them in mind.

  1. Sep 2026 – now

    Scalo · systems and automation for SMBs

    AI automation and CRM

    I design and maintain GoHighLevel automations for 9 businesses in healthcare, aesthetics, financial education and services: WhatsApp bots that triage inquiries, segmented campaigns with follow-ups, clinic schedules and reminders, contact deduplication and migration, integrations with external systems and scheduled jobs on Vercel. Every system ships with video walkthroughs.

  2. 2025 – now

    Agua Canta · event venue

    Stock, inventory and automation

    A Telegram bot built with Claude Code that logs stock in and out in real time. Post-event closing dropped from 3 hours to under 20 minutes, with 500+ items tracked.

  3. 2024 – 2025

    Deloto · Esencia Natural

    Data analyst and automation

    An n8n pipeline that cut the weekly report from 4 hours to 30 minutes, Power BI dashboards and SQL queries to validate data.

  4. 2023 – 2024

    Transformar · prefab houses

    Sales advisor

    End-to-end sales of a high-ticket product, with custom quotes.

  5. 2022 – 2023

    Alpha Motors

    Sales advisor and team lead

    40+ inquiries a week and error-free paperwork for every deal.

  6. 2020 – 2022

    Galpón Gráfico MX · El Milenio · La Dupla

    Content, journalism and production

    Stories for print, radio and web, video editing and quality control in production.

EDUCATION

  • Associate degree in Artificial Intelligence and Data Science

    Universidad Siglo 21 · Colegio Universitario IES

    24 of 24 courses passed · thesis in progress

  • AWS Certified Cloud Practitioner

    Amazon Web Services

    2025

  • Technology and computing · mathematics and computer science

    UTN · FaMAF (UNC)

    courses completed

Spanish (native) · English (B2/C1) · basic Italian and Portuguese

INSTRUMENTS

modeling
Python · scikit-learn · TensorFlow/Keras · PyTorch · LightGBM · Stable-Baselines3
data
pandas · NumPy · SQL Server · PostgreSQL · Power BI · Excel
automation
n8n · Claude Code · FastAPI · Telegram bots · LLM agents
tooling
Git · Docker · Google Colab · AWS

§ 05

Let's talk

I'm looking for a full-time data analyst or data scientist role. I'm based in Unquillo, near Córdoba, Argentina, and available to start right away.